Title

Monetary Convergence of the EU Accession Countries to the Eurozone: A Theoretical Framework and Policy Implications

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

1-2005

Abstract

A flexible approach to direct inflation targeting offers the European Union accession countries a viable monetary policy choice that is believed to facilitate both the economic transition and the monetary convergence to the eurozone. Following this assumption, a model investigating the nexus between inflation and selected monetary variables in three EU accession countries: the Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary is advanced. The empirical analysis is aimed at explaining the sensitivity of the CPI-based inflation path in these countries to backward- as well as forward-looking expectations, nominal exchange rate fluctuations, the eurozone inflation impulses, and output changes. The analysis implies that the monetary convergence begins with flexible inflation targeting and concludes with a full-fledged euroization.

Comments

Published: Orlowski, Lucjan. "Monetary Convergence of the EU Accession Countries to the Eurozone: A Theoretical Framework and Policy Implications." Journal of Banking and Finance 29.1 (2005): 203-225.

DOI

10.1016/j.jbankfin.2004.06.022